It is not hard for any observer to predict the outcome of the ongoing efforts to implement the Stockholm Agreement on Yemen, even with a new president of the International Monitoring Team of the Coordination and Redeployment Committee.
No one thus expects Major General Michael Anker-Lollsgaard to succeed in making a breakthrough, unlike his predecessors, in the light of the Houthi intransigence and the continued policies of disengagement from peace agreements and references.
Under these realities, it is not surprising to predict that the task of Lollesgaard will be only a continuation of the vicious circle that the Iranian militias are trying to bring peace efforts into.
The Danish general, since his first round in the shifting sands of Yemen, has faced the intransigence of the delegation of coupists who stipulated to return to dialogue back to the zero point on the mechanisms of implementing the Swedish Agreement, a matter that Lollesgaard highly rejected, insisting to implement the agreement from where his predecessor, Major General Patrick Cammaert stopped.
What does this mean?
Once again, it appears that all the peace efforts in Yemen are promised failure unless a new international situation matures and addresses the profound imbalance in the international community's approach on the Yemeni situation as a conflict between two identical legitimacies.
This approach turns against the resolutions of the international legitimacy that recognized the legitimate government as a sole representative of the Yemeni State, and stressed the limitation of weapons into the hands of the government, and also condemned the Houthi coup.
Addressing this contradiction is the first step in the difficult Yemeni peace, by reconsidering the legitimacy of the Houthi militias and placing them within their true legal framework as a coup movement and outlaw militias and thus subjecting them to the international law, making them subject to deterrent sanctions.
In this connection, the international approach also necessitates provision of regional peace conditions by pressing the Houthi movement sponsors who are pushing for fueling and disengaging the peace references.
If Doha and Tehran do not receive strict messages on their support for coupists in Yemen, the Yemeni closed circle will last for long and the painful Yemeni bleeding will continue.
Given this dysfunctional equation and the unfavorable international environment, it is not pessimistic to say that Major General Lollesgaard's task will not bear anything new.